Hackers Be Damned

Daily Continuation

Haven’t been able to communicate with you folks for a couple of days, but the market has gone nowhere for the last few days. As we enter expiration, would not be expecting anything different as to the price behavior. Continue with the range trade of the last three weeks.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

Problems With Server

I apologize but my server and computers were hacked into and some folk have tried to wire funds from my accounts. Should be clearing it up in the next few days but for now I have no access to charts etc.

Trade Seeks a Additional Declines

Daily Continuous

After rising early in the week — prices reversed and challenged some of the intermediate term support levels from previous weeks. Though nothing has changed as to the current market environment, a bearish trade within a bullish long-term trend (higher lows since 2020), would expect additional tests of support prior to a rally but well within the 4 month range between $3.00 down to $2.00.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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Declines Test 2-Week Lows

The storage report provided the spark to send prices down but could not break below the lows last week and the previous week. Not what I would consider a break down to push prices into the $2.40’s. Tomorrow is another day though, so have you’re positions ready.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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Becoming a Smaller Range

Daily Continuous

Compression of the range continues and we all know this is unlikely to continue for very long. Perhaps, with the storage report we will see a breakout or break down to test the support and resistance for a bias play.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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Small Gains

Daily Continuation

Prices gained slightly during the day neither testing resistance nor support. Stick with the game plan on buying and selling at tests of support or resistance.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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Prices Firm

Daily Continuous

Surprising to myself, prices firmed instead of extending the declines. Don’t believe it was a change of heart nor directional changes, but just a weak test of support last week and a slight rebound. Play the range identified in the Weekly section.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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Expect Additional Tests of Support

Daily Continuous

Last week provided the initial test of support and declining in the normal post Independence day fashion– now lets see what the low end of this trading range is as last week provided solid tests of several levels (see Weekly section). The high end of the July range has likely been established with last week’s high– but that is not written in stone.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

Declines Continue Testing Support

Daily Continuous

Prices declined to test last week’s low at $2.61 but found some buying the big area if the bears want some action is around $2.52 then from $2.52-$2.448. We shall see — volume doesn’t look like it is supporting the declines in a meaningful way.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.52-$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

Bears Test the Downside For Now

Daily Continuation

The bears seem to control the early morning and therefore the trade day direction as they waved off the forecasts for demand and started selling, taking prices to the short term support area. There is a lot more trade to July than this early move indicates (see Weekly). For now– I see higher lows and a change in bias — so I will add on the dips.

Major Support: $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766
Minor Support:$2.47, $2.38-$2.26, $2.17
Major Resistance $2.816-$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.59

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