Prices start off Sunday night weaker, gaping lower and starting to test the $2.00 zone quickly as the May contract takes over as prompt. Trading to a low, rallying and then returning to that prior low and holding, is the primary method of natural gas defining a longer term low. This week prompt gas undercut the first low but failed to follow through to the downside re-defining support as a zone between two monthly lows, ($1.944 – $1.967). Not nearly enough time has passed to draw a definitive conclusion, but new prompt May ended Friday above the continuation 10 – day SMA for the first time since the failure of the rally from the February low, thatvery short – term moving average served as declining resistance at multiple daily highs since prompt April first closed beneath it on March 8th.
Major Support: $2.127-$2.095, $2.00, $1.991-$1.96, $1.795-$1.766 Minor Support: Major Resistance$2.836, $3.00, $3.536, 3.595