Testing Calendar Low

Daily Continuous

We might be finding some excitement as the prompt May contract is challenging the calendar low for the month. A breakdown may take prices to the support from the previous months expiration lows. It may also close a small gap in the Daily trade. Finally, something to discuss– no bias adjustment in this move.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Different Contract Prompt – Similar Range

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Are you asleep yet–volatility will return to this market (as it always does) but similar to the last few years it will take some time (discussed recently) to work through the range traders. Until the set up is adjusted continue to sell premium at both ends of the bias spectrum.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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No Ceiling Break

Daily Continuous

No breakage of the ceiling yesterday — instead the price run failed and prices went back into the mini-range for the May contract. Am going to be interested in the weekly momentum and internals for this week. Will discuss in the Weekly section next week.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Bumping Upon a Ceiling

Daily Continuous

Still looking at the recent range trade, but I am noticing a trading behavior that seems to want to build on gains and test the “ceiling” of the recent range. This is the behavior of a market seeking to a price to force some short covering. Not saying that it is today with the storage report, but a behavior that should be respected.

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Is Support Building For a Break

Interesting trade early this week as prices have held firm without the weekly negative push. Can’t say anything more than “range” but some of the action is proving interesting as I watch the paint dry.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Oh Look — Consolidation Continues

Daily Continuous

What have I not said during the last few weeks?

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.87, $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Tired of Reading About Range Trade?

Daily Continuation

Seems like the market likes to go into a spring period of boredom as I discussed in the Weekly Section. Similarities abound and if you need further evidence bring up a month chart of continuation prices. not much more to add than what was discussed in the Longer term area so not going to waste more of my time. I gather you folks understand my not writing the same stuff day after day is not laziness but there is no way to put lipstick on this pig. — Plod along sell, premium count cash.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.511, $1.48, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.87, $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Resistance is “Resistance”

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That is why they call it resistance as prices trade between the 50 Day SMA and the 10 Week SMA but does not close above them both on a daily basis. The trader has to believe resistance breaks or holds — your guess is as good as mine.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.519, $1.432, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.87, $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Rerun Continues

Daily Continuous

As discussed in yesterday’s Daily– the trade seems to be following a path similar to last month in early March as weather brought some short term support to prices. The same seems to be occurring this month. Wait for for prices to definitively break above resistance– by closing above the near term resistance between $1.85-$1.96 on a daily basis– before entering any serious length. In the meantime, I found the early March rally a good opportunity to sell some premium in the options market.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.519, $1.432, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.872, $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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Similar to Last Month – Firm to Start

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Seen this movie before — lets see if the plot thickens on this month as prices start the month off with strength only to fall back after the first week.

Major Support:, $1.595, $1.52-$1.519, $1.432, $1.312
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $1.863, $1.94-$1.967, $2.00, $3.00, $3.16, $3.48, $3.536, 3.59
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