Category: Daily Call

Bearish Storage Report

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The market got a bearish storage release, sending prices down, but didn’t pressure the low side of the range before it got a footing and held the declines. Still in the range.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :$3.30-$3.26
Major Resistance:$3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

Still Working the High End of Range

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Can’t add anything that has not been mentioned here or in the Weekly section on Monday. Nothing has prompted prices to test the high levels from May at $3.83 but by the same token nothing has made trade interested in selling the recent gains. Perhaps the storage release will provide more interest in driving short term bias.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :$3.30-$3.26
Major Resistance: $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

Same Range

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Spoke earlier this week about the actions I would recommend considering the trading range we are enjoying. Prices are now starting to challenge the resistance levels and is the area where action (discussed earlier) may be promoted.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :$3.30-$3.26
Major Resistance:$3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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Sunday Starting Stronger

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Discuss expectations for prices this week in the Weekly Section, working from the historical standpoint– will just add that the Sunday night trade showed a little strength which may or may not continue through the trade day. Trading for me is selling premium as prices trade to resistance and selling premium if prices trade to test support. Seems simple but in a range market (last few months) it has provided revenue.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :$3.30-$3.26
Major Resistance:$3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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Premium Gone

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Discussed earlier in the Weekly Section that the premium afforded to the July contract would be tested after expiration and the price action closed the gap from the expiration range and the July contract in yesterday’s action. The July contract is now in the range from the June contract. Continue the range trade.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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New Prompt — Gap Enclosed

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You already know what this Daily will be about — That is right the premium afforded to the July contract. Sit back and watch what happens.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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Prices Remain Quiet

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Not much to add from the Weekly expectations published yesterday. The July contract remains at a significant premium to the expiring June contract that may reduce as the expiration concludes or early in the July prompt period.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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Two Week Close at Same Level

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Discuss the issue of last week’s close at the exact level of the previous week in the Weekly Sections but needless to say it is a very rare event. Where do we go from here is more critical and all I can see is some brief further weakness into the historical seasonal early June (as prompt) strength post expiration. I am more interested into the premium give the July prompt and how that trades during the week.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

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Back to the Range

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With the storage release I was wondering if the recent strength would be curtailed and that it was. The heading says it all – back into the range that June has created.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,

Solid Bounce

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Prices refused to extend down to the April low of June gas and performed a solid rebound. Not sure this is a rally that should be jumped onto — there is a solid possibility that further gains will be hindered by the storage release coming up. Regardless, the market continues to trade with in the range that June has developed.

Major Support: $3.054-$3.007, $2.97, $2.727, $2.648,
Minor Support :
Major Resistance: $3.26-$3.305, $3.46, $3.628, $3.86, $4.168, $4.461, $4.501,