Settle At the Initial Resistance

Daily Continuous

The price action reversed to a more bullish bias after the storage data release. Guess they didn’t inject as much as thought. The question now is does the market continue to probe higher levels or retreat back to the comfortable range. Today will likely tell us as the close yesterday left us at the 200 day SMA.

Major Support:, $2.112, $2.026-2.00, $1.991, $1.93 ,$1.642, $1.605
Minor Support : $1.856,$1.89-$1.856
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Bounce Ends

Daily Continuous

The rally terminated at the 200 day SMA ($2.26) yesterday — now does the market want to test the support areas around $2.07-$2.05. Would expect the retest of support.

Major Support:, $2.112, $2.026-2.00, $1.991, $1.93 ,$1.642, $1.605
Minor Support : $1.856,$1.89-$1.856
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Solid Bounce

Daily Continuous

Prices rices bounced from a test of support — but are now heading into serious initial resistance areas so be patient for the trade. The past couple of weeks have started strong only to wither during the week. Let the market define its upcoming directional bias before reacting in a strong way.

Major Support:, $2.112, $2.026-2.00, $1.991, $1.93 ,$1.642, $1.605
Minor Support : $1.856,$1.89-$1.856
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

Leave For a Week –Nothing Has Changed

Daily Continuous

Discussed the ramifications and expectations in the Weekly area of last weeks expiration. There seems to be buyers supporting the declines at $1.90-$1.85. Not sure if it institutional buying or what but support is there. As discussed in the Weekly – there are some technical divergences showing up in the Daily regarding the momentum indicators so keep your eyes alert. Monday trade seems to want to retest the low side of the range.

Major Support:, $2.112, $2.026-2.00, $1.991, $1.93 ,$1.642, $1.605
Minor Support : $1.856,$1.89-$1.856
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Weakness Begets More Weakness Going Into Expiration

Daily Continuation

Found an internet service on my travel’s and updated the Weekly section to bring you my insights. Due to the reduction of access I will use the Weekly section for my reference.

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Retreating From Resistance Failure

Daily Continuous

First Off– will be periodically posting next week and will have sporadic Daily updates until September 4th, as I am traveling into northern Ontario Canada, which maintains limited internet access. Discuss the trading range that the September contract is likely to maintain in the next week or so in the Weekly Section. Will just add that the well offered contract prompt during the expiration is likely to continue. Whether it sets the low for the contract will remain to be seen.

Major Support:, $1.848, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support : $2.00, $1.967- $1.94
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Run Ends at Several Resistance Levels

Daily Continuous

The price run ended yesterday at resistance levels from the lows of weeks ending 07/05 & 07/12 and the highs of weeks ending 07/19 & 07/26, $2.249 – $2.270 – $2.285 -$2.315. During the upcoming run into the annual Q4 highs this area will provide significant importance to any run.

Major Support:, $1.848, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support : $2.00, $1.967- $1.94
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.25-$2.310, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Strength Continues and Closes Above Initial Resistance

Daily Continuous

Action held firm for the day and closed above the initial resistance at $2.18. Storage comes out tomorrow so interest will be how the market trades and settles during the potential (light) volatility day.

Major Support:, $1.848, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support : $2.00, $1.967- $1.94
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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Yesterday All Over Again

Daily Continuous

Did you read yesterday’s Daily? Let me remind you… After extending gains to test the 100 day SMA, traders backed off the positive momentum of price action to consolidate at the days low. While not breaking out above– it will be today’s trade to see if prices are just going to decline and retest the recent support zones a dime around $2.00. The historical tendency for September has been to trade the high of its tenure during the first two weeks of the calendar month but there have been a few strong Augusts in recent years. A year ago, September conformed to the historical tendency. After falling to forfeit about a dime premium that had been awarded over expired August September ‘23 rallied from an 08/02 low ($2.457) to an 08/09 high ($3.018). In ’20, ’21 and ’22 September remained well – bid into expiration. This action was set up only to give back a chunk of those gains during calendar September (the Labor Day seasonal largely responsible).

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Brief Consolidation of Recent Gains

Daily Consolidation

After extending gains to test the 100 day SMA, traders backed off the positive momentum of price action to consolidate at the days low. While not breaking out above– it will be today’s trade to see if prices are just going to decline and retest the recent support zones a dime around $2.00. The historical tendency for September has been to trade the high of its tenure during the first two weeks of the calendar month but there have been a few strong Augusts in recent years. A year ago, September conformed to the historical tendency. After falling to forfeit about a dime premium that had been awarded over expired August September ‘23 rallied from an 08/02 low ($2.457) to an 08/09 high ($3.018). In ’20, ’21 and ’22 September remained well – bid into expiration. This action was set up only to give back a chunk of those gains during calendar September (the Labor Day seasonal largely responsible).

Major Support:, $1.848, $1.52-$1.511, $1.481, $1.312
Minor Support : $2.00, $1.967- $1.94
Major Resistance:$2.18, $2.39, $2.44-$$2.502, $2.618, $3.00, $3.16

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