Category: Daily Call

The market seems to be establishing a new (or latest) range for prices to work with in. What was old resistance at $3.00 now seems to provide support for declines and the highs have now created $3.20 as the new high end of the range. We have witnessed the price to work within the range that has developed in each of the last three months, though each range had different values for support and resistance. This type of stepping upward is a characteristic of longer term runs but we are headed into a notoriously and consistent period of the year (Q3) for lower prices. A struggle may be brewing (not this week but later in the month) for rallies to endure and extend.

Major Support: $3.00 $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support: $2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.12-$3.15, $3.198, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

The resistance area around $3.00 which proved so formidable for many months has now held as support for a couple of tests. This has created a narrow range at $3.15 and beyond the $3.15 there is numerous area that will prevent prices from getting to out of control. Would still suggest that prices need to retrace (consolidate) some of the gains.

Major Support: $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support: $3.00, $2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.12-$3.15, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

It is beginning to look like prices aren’t going to melt down on the run up to $3.15 as they did in previous runs. The other major difference is the fact that open interest is gaining while prices have traded over $3.00 and the volume this week is greater (on average) than last week. This is starting to look like a consolidation pattern that will keep the floor around $2.90-$3.00.

Major Support: $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support: $3.00, $2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.12-$3.15, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

The action yesterday created an inside range from the range on Monday– bu the key was they did not melt down from the rally as they did last week and earlier in February. This is a bullish indication that prices may consolidate the gains and extend higher later in the month. As a trader- I would like to see the market retrace to the break zone last week at $2.90 and then see how it reacts. Continue to play this new mini-range between $3.00-$3.15 for now.

Major Support: $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support: $3.00, $2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.12-$3.15, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

Strong gains yesterday, confirming the gains from Sunday and Monday. Pardon my skepticism, but we have seen this kind of rally dwindle away in the next day. The question remains how much it retraces the gain and / or does it maintain the support levels. Further gains beyond resistance will set up for additional gains. Declines will take prices back to the old range trade.

Major Support: $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support:$2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.12-$3.15, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

Price action ended the week on a positive note and opened on Sunday night with a solid run, confirmed on late Monday trade. While the continuous chart continues to show a range trade environment, the spot July chart is more constructive (as discussed in the Weekly section). The directional bias for July will be a battle and currently, the price remains near the top of the resistance zone.

Major Support: $2.914-$2.886, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support:$2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.01-$3.042, $3.12-$3.15, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

Jun expired on the higher side of the range and July quickly traded into the June expiration range. There remains a nickle spread between Jun and Jul and would expect a retracement into that range. The July chart looks more supportive than any of the recent monthly charts and will go into that on the weekend. For now — play the range– and have a great weekend as I will not be publishing a Daily on Friday.

Major Support: $2.883, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support:$2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.01, $3.12, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396

The range trade continued with a slight extension for prices as options expired. The July contract continued to trade between $.06-$.07 premium to the June so now what happens to June may not extend to the July contract. What ever the variance to the June contract it would be wise to expect July to test some part of the expiration range as it takes over as prompt.

Major Support: $2.883, $2.78, $2.71-$2.70, $2.658, $2.52, $2.422-$2.414
Minor Support:$2.876, $2.694, $2.483, $2.162
Major Resistance: $3.01, $3.12, $3.251, $3.31, $3.396