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Category: Daily Call
Storage Data Holds Prices
Daily Continuous
Guess the storage data which was what was expected. Now it starts to look to the expiration of the Dec contract as prompt. The majority of the impact will occur early next week before the Holiday when trade will be light — be careful and look for the Jan contract for directional bias.
Major Support: $4.219-$4.139,$4.083,$4.055,
Minor Support : $4.46-$4.42, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.73-$4.75. $4.901,
Range Developed
Daily Continuous
Price decline and started to test the lows from last week. Will the declines break below the lows of last week before another rebound — not convinced either way. Today should set up for the storage release on Thursday and would expect a test of the mid $4.20’s during the week.
Major Support: $4.219-$4.139,$4.083,$4.055,
Minor Support : $4.46-$4.42, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.73-$4.75. $4.901,
A Brief Correction?
Daily Continuous
Not sure of the declines being extended to major support yesterday reminded us that when price become over extended there will be a correction at some point. Yesterday’s decline brought the prices back below 2 standard deviations over the 20 week SMA which is a necessary correction for any further gains.
Major Support: $4.219-$4.139,$4.083,$4.055,
Minor Support : $4.46-$4.42, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.73-$4.75. $4.901,
Rally Slows Momentum
Daily Continuous
Price positive action with one setback left prices at the high end of the range. Go into some of the underlying technical indicators in the weekly section. Would be cautious in adding significant length until the directional bias becomes better defined.
Major Support: $4.219-$4.139,$4.083,$4.055,
Minor Support : $4.46-$4.42, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.73-$4.75. $4.901,
Developing a Range
Weekly Continuous with Bollinger Band and RSI
The strength in the prompt is challenging levels (3 standard deviations) over the 20 week SMA and the over bought levels in the Weekly RSI. These are levels that are usually met with some sort of brief correction.
Major Support: $4.21-$4.139,$4.122,$4.055,
Minor Support : $3.942, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.394, $4.461-$4.475, $$4.901,
Today Will Be a Test On Highs
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That’s a Solid Test and Rebound
Daily Continuous
Prices seem to want to test the high side of the Nov contract range that has been developing. Positions should hold until existing weather moves on and the storage report is released– watch for a retracement back to the early month lows ($4.20-$4.00).
Major Support: $4.21-$4.139,$4.122,$4.055,
Minor Support : $3.942, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.394, $4.461-$4.475, $4.49-$4.55, $4.901,
Early Strength Retraces Gains
Daily Continuous
Early strength mentioned in yesterday’s Daily evaporated quickly as the full market opened and forces prices down. Expected, per the Weekly and Daily sections, weakness was expected from the over bought level of the market. Not convinced that the retracement is finished– if you are buying be patient–if you are selling be opportunistic.
Major Support: $4.21-$4.139,$4.122,$4.055,
Minor Support : $3.942, $3.75,$3.65
Major Resistance: $4.394, $4.461-$4.475, $$4.901,
Sunday Trade Starts Strong
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