Another Failure at Resistance With Divergences

Weekly Continuous

Prompt with a gap and strength but did not remain above the December high for very long and ended the week at $3.916 with trading volume substantially less than on 12/30 (685,311 v 998,839), which creates another volume divergence. Not give up it performed another try on Thursday, leaving the prompt at the highest close ($4.258) since the last trading day of 2022 but again volume significantly lagged that traded at the December high and February fell to finish the week lower without testing Monday’s gap higher. While prompt gas continues to work higher the lower weekly close was the third in the last four weeks.

Prompt February was the only monthly contract to finish the week with a loss. Prompt in waiting March gained $.081, reducing February’s premium to $.469 from last week’s peak of $.591. A year ago when February went off the board at $2.490 March ’24 was $2.054 and was never able to make up much of that discount. Trading the high of its tenure on 02/01 at $2.168 before falling to $1.502. Will see if history is going to rhyme.

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